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Thursday, September 27, 2012

BofA Makes The Case For $3,000 Gold



Everyone loves gold these days. Deutsche Bank sees $2000 gold soon. And Citi says it could go to $2500 in six months.
BofA, too: the firm recently initiated a $2,400 target price for the shiny yellow metal since the Fed's announcement of open-ended bond buying.
However, BofA analyst Stephen Suttmeier thinks there's a case to be made that gold goes even higher than the bank's official call.
In a note to clients today, Suttmeier writes:
The secular bull case for Gold $3000
We remain secular bulls on gold. Key chart and uptrend supports between $1600 and $1400 have held and we have viewed $1550-1500 as a good area to buy gold. The breakout above the year-long downtrend line completes the correction within the longer-term uptrend and targets resistances at $1800 and $1925. But, the secular bull market for gold points to a stronger rally to $2050-2300 and up to $3000 longer-term. The top of the rising channel from mid 2005 is near $2375 and reaches the $3000 area by early 2014. Key channel supports are in the $1600 and $1400 areas and rise ~$25/month. The chart below shows the secular bull market for gold.
Here is the chart Suttmeier is looking at:

Gold futures – monthly semi-log chart

BofA Merrill Lynch

source : www.businessinsider.com

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