By Alasdair Macleod
Governments have refused to accept the necessity of a period of
economic re-adjustment following the credit-bubble. The bubble burst
about five years ago and economic progress has been effectively
suspended ever since. The consequences of this refusal to accept reality
are at a minimum to make this adjustment unnecessarily drawn out and
needlessly painful, without offering a better eventual outcome.
Reduced to its bare bones, the choice has been either to accept that
unviable businesses and over-extended banks must go bust, or to ignore
the problem and hope it goes away. We are familiar with this dilemma as
investors: a business that refuses to adapt to new realities will
eventually fail. Before it does, its investors have the chance either to
sell their shares and perhaps reinvest their money more profitably, or
to refuse to accept an early loss on their investment. Most of us, being
human, take the latter course and usually regret it.